US-Iran tension and India's interest
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US-Iran tension and India's interest |
The clouds of the war in West Asia for the
last several months changed to Fire in the first week of
January 2020. When the US killed Iran's Supreme Commander Qasim Sulemani with a
drone attack near Baghdad Airport. In retaliation to the Iranian public's
outrage, Iran also attacked the US Embassy in Baghdad and US military bases in
Irbil and Al-Assad with missiles.
India is not directly involved in this struggle.
But under the present global conditions, military conflict in any corner of the
world results worldwide. India is also not untouched by this because about
eight million Indians are employed in the countries of West Asia. Which send
about 40 billion dollars of foreign currency to India every year. Even during
the Gulf War, the Indian government had evacuated millions of Indians from the
war zone. After the current tension, the Foreign Ministry has issued a
directive asking citizens living in Iraq to be vigilant. Indian aviation
companies have also been advised to avoid using the airspace of Gulf countries.
India is dependent on the countries of West Asia
in terms of crude oil imports. America has already imposed economic sanctions
on Iran. Due to this, India is not importing more crude oil than that.
Nevertheless, the effect of instability in this sector will be in the form of
increase in the prices of crude oil. India imports 80 to 85 percent crude-oil.
The rise in crude oil prices will have a negative impact on the Indian foreign
exchange reserves. It is a matter of satisfaction that currently the foreign
exchange reserves are at the level of 457 billion dollars. Crude oil prices
have reached $ 70 per barrel due to the current conflict. The whole world is
troubled by the recession in the global economy. India has also reduced its GDP
figure to 5% in the current financial year. Along with rising unemployment in
India, inflation will also increase in the present circumstances. Which can
increase the difficulties of Finance Minister Smt Nirmala Sitharaman before the
budget. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's dream of a $ 5 trillion economy will not
become a reality if current tensions do not subside.
Rice worth 40 thousand crores is exported
from India. 34% of this basmati rice goes to Iran alone. Last year 1.4 million
tonnes of rice were exported to Iran. Haryana Rice Mill Association President
J.P. s. According to Singla, rice mills in North India, especially Haryana,
will suffer a great economic loss in the event of tension in Iran. Because most
of their cargo is stuck at ports. Apart from this, the payment of rice sent
earlier to Iran has also not been paid yet.
India has good diplomatic relations with
Iran. Has spent billions of dollars in the development of a port of strategic
importance in India. With the help of Chabar port in this region, India has
access to countries in Afghanistan and beyond. This port played a significant
role in sending wheat consignments to Afghanistan last year.
Strategic partnerships in the US and India have
also increased in the last decade. In the event of war, America can ask for
many types of military assistance from India. This situation will be
endangering religion for India. A similar situation was created during the Gulf
War in 1991. When the US wanted fuel filling facilities in its military
aircraft from India. But the then government of India rejected this demand of
America. But today's circumstances have changed a lot.
In today's global scenario, it would be
prudent to avoid tensions. At the present time war does not fulfill the
objectives of any country. The US also does not want war because it has been
fighting in Afghanistan and the Gulf areas for a long time. In which thousands
of his soldiers have been martyred. The US is also in the final stages of talks
with the same Taliban to withdraw its forces from Afghanistan, whose terrorists
shook America in the 9/11 terror attack. The US also wants to evacuate its own
and friendly NATO troops from Iraq, soldiers who have been stationed in Iraq
since the Gulf War. So it is the responsibility of all the world's top leaders
and diplomatic experts that they Do not let the US and Iran move ahead with the
circumstances and continue your efforts towards peace.
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